Bitcoin Institute

"If BTC stays within 1sd band for the next 2.5 yrs, then S2F model is still valid" (@100trillionUSD, 2021-12-24)

Figures: PlanB
PlanB @100trillionUSD December 24, 2021 15:09 UTC

Ad2 - S2F model intact Key is that BTC $51K is still within 1 standard deviation band of S2F model (roughly $50K-$200K, see chart). If BTC stays within 1sd band for the next 2.5 yrs, then S2F model is still valid and indeed useful for me. Of course you should make your own call. pic.twitter.com/cFpRdewUJ5

Chart titled "Bitcoin daily stock-to-flow and price", credited "Model by PlanB, Chart by Rob Wolfram," with price data from 2010-07-18 to 2021-12-23: a red daily price line inside light-blue standard-deviation bands around a grey model line, and the note "Predicted price: S2F^3.21 × 0.47"

Original external source

https://x.com/100trillionUSD/status/1474396754212794373
Text from X's official embed (publish.twitter.com/oembed); the posting time and the attached image from X's embed data (cdn.syndication.twimg.com), both retrieved October 22, 2026.