Bitcoin Institute

"Nov98K & Dec135K miss = FLOOR MODEL FAIL" (@100trillionUSD, 2021-12-24)

Figures: PlanB
PlanB @100trillionUSD December 24, 2021 15:08 UTC

Let me be clear:

  1. Nov98K & Dec135K miss = FLOOR MODEL FAIL
  2. Dec100K miss: I have said earlier that if BTC<$100K Dec2021, then S2F is “off the rails” “invalidated” “dead”. Tbh that was an ill attempt to clarify “$100K average this cycle” & regression analysis. S2F MODEL INTACT pic.twitter.com/LRdfLinTm4

Chart titled "Bitcoin daily stock-to-flow and price", credited "Model by PlanB, Chart by Rob Wolfram," with price data from 2010-07-18 to 2021-12-23: a red daily price line inside light-blue standard-deviation bands around a grey model line, and the note "Predicted price: S2F^3.21 × 0.47"

Log-scale chart titled "Bitcoin 200 Week Moving Average & Floor Model": a black 200-week moving average line, a grey floor model line rising to about $30,000 by the end of 2021, and monthly price dots from 2013 to 2021

Original external source

https://x.com/100trillionUSD/status/1474396679092817922
Text from X's official embed (publish.twitter.com/oembed); the posting time and the attached image from X's embed data (cdn.syndication.twimg.com), both retrieved October 22, 2026.