Quote from: theymos on June 05, 2010, 03:02:57 PM
The main part of the formula that I’m uneasy about is the “target probability” of 0.5. 0.5 is used for calculations involving brute-forcing passwords, but maybe this is different. If your blocks consistently take double the amount of time that the formula predicts, use 1 instead.
I thought about that. I don’t know if 0.5 is valid or not. I’ll continue to take observations. I wonder if it writes to the debug log when it has success.
Actually, that formula assumes that you’re working on one block until you figure it out. In Bitcoin, aren’t multiple nodes working on the same block? When one finishes, the others abandon work on it and choose another block? That was the impression that I had, but it might be wrong.